Letters and Editorials 7766 Views by Ameer Tarin

India's Nuclear War Threat




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In its issue of March 07, 2012 Indian Deccan Chronicle reported quoting section of the press, asking questions about the failure of recent test-fire of BrahMos Cruise Missile. Though on Sunday March 4, 2012, Indian army said it successfully tested BrahMos Supersonic Cruise Missile with a range of 290 km.

Pakistan army in a compelling retaliatory performance test-fired it’s Nuclear-Capable Ballistic Missile Hatf-II on the following day March 05, 2012 hours after India tested its supersonic cruise missile.

In retrospect, the world in mid seventies witnessed India’s implosion of a nuclear device that pressed the panic button ringing alarming bells regarding nuclear proliferation in South-Asia. In an act of gloating, India unnerved Pakistan to nurse the wound inflicted to dismember the country in 1971, and the country’s survival faced a grave threat due to on growing military and nuclear might of its five times bigger hostile neighbour. India has a track record of fighting wars; three with Pakistan and one with China in 1972 in a span of its twenty year independence.

The new development had a direct impact on the political movement of Kashmir as Indian intelligence agencies, aided by the caucus of Sheikh Abdullah's immediate family, fifth column Kashmiri Pandits, worked round the clock to convince naïve Kashmir leader Sheikh Abdullah (now an old man) to accept the reality of Pakistan militarily marginalised and deciphered. The old “Lion” weak and mentally imbalanced accepted under duress an accord notoriously known as ’75 Accord’. People of Kashmir did not reconcile to accept this imposed political arrangement and decided to rise up in arms against India (1989) as the legitimate peaceful struggle would not be acceptable to the echelons of power in India.

After the fall of Dhaka Late Z A Bhutto’s UN Security Council fiery Speech (15th Dec 1971) vowing to fight a thousand year war and back in his country pledged and demonstrated his resolve to “eat grass and develop a bomb”; international political pundits believe that India’s immature and lack of political acumen was responsible for Pakistan to go nuclear. It is also believed that India’s meddling in Pakistan’s eastern wing, provided military, financial and intelligence assistance to raise the rebel army (Mukti Bahini) to disturb political system to create anarchy. Pakistan army panicked in the backdrop of a situation created by India to stop allowing air-supplies between two wings of Pakistan and the infamous hijacking drama provided a pretext to Indian planners. In the melee, Pakistan army in a desperate situation used brute force to quell the rebellion resulting in human right violations and Pakistan falling straight into a trap laid by its adversaries.

On May 13, 1998 India exploded five nuclear devices; three on May 11 and two on May 13, 1998 followed by Pakistan’s six on May 28, and May 30, 1998. Then embarrassed and amazed Prime Minister of India Mr A B Vajpayee stated that “these bombs do not get made overnight”.

India has also been busy diverting its resources to stockpile military hardware, missile technology, nuclear submarines, and technologies from super powers of the world to create an imbalance in the military power equilibrium in the region. Pakistan with its meagre resources is hard-pressed to keep pace with the race and faces multiple problems as far as running of day to day governmental responsibilities are concerned.

A confrontational scenario of the two nations creates a scary situation and the world very rightly is showing a huge concern. The right thinking people around the world consider India-Pakistan hostility a challenge to the world safety and also believe that the key to diffuse the situation is the stumbling block Kashmir. In this connection Howard Schaffer deputy director of the Institute for the Study of Diplomacy at Georgetown University in his book on the U.S. role in Kashmir who on Wednesday, September 3, 2008 wrote in The Washington Times:

"Kashmir is again becoming very dangerous. Stabilizing Afghanistan, avoiding a potential nuclear face-off between Pakistan and India, and steadying the fragile democratic government in Pakistan are critical to U.S. interests today, far more than in previous decades. They are all at risk if Kashmir sparks a new India-Pakistan crisis. The United States can ignore Kashmir only at its own peril."


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