Some Great Tips for Betting in Horse Racing
When compared to other sports, horse racing is quite unpredictable. In a recent article, sportsbettingdime.com points out the prominent racehorses that produced big payouts, and how this could serve as a guide to people betting on horse races.
Why Are Upsets So Frequent in Horse Racing?
In order to make the best calculations while betting on horse races, you might have to focus less on picking a long shot and pay more attention towards trying to recognize when the odds are skewed. Sportsbetting.com gives an example that states, “If favourites are being over-bet on, the long-shots have far more potential value. Sometimes, the best way to connect on a 25/1 shot is to pretend that they’re more like 15/1. If you think about your bets that way, you’ll find that long shot bets sometimes have some extra value, meriting a wager.”
The Origins of “Upset”
Would you believe it, if you were told that the word “upset” literally came from a famous racehorse? As history tells it, in 1920, Man o’ War was honored by The New York Times as the Babe Ruth Outstanding Athlete of the Year. It’s was a well-deserved recognition, because of how Man O’ War won 20 out of 21 career starts (including the Preakness and Belmont).
At the time, he was the undisputed best horse to ever race and was seen by many bettors as the closest thing to a sure thing they’d ever seen.
On the contrary, in a race on August 13th, 1919 at Saratoga, a horse named Upset shockingly beat Man O’ War, and subsequently, the term “upset” was documented.
Here are some factors to consider when predicting the winning horse:
- Turf Races Are More Unpredictable Than Dirt Tracks
There is inconsistency in the performance of horses that race on grass
- Keep an Eye on Horses Making Dramatic Changes
When a horse switches from dirt to turf or vice versa, or use anti-bleeding medication Lasix for the first time they have a performance boost and must be noted.
- Watch out for “Shippers”
Shippers are horses that have traveled from one track to run a race in another. Some horse might be moved to run in tougher tracks than they are used to, these horses may perform poorly. Conversely, a horse who is accustomed to running in more competitive tracked, might travel to run on a lesser track and would probably perform well.
- Weather Can Create Chaotic Results
Weather plays a major role in horse racing. Rain, snow, or wind could leave a surprising result. Sometimes races are even canceled because of poor weather as punter2pro.com reports
- Be Aware of Horses Coming off of Layoffs
Just as humans get reinvigorated after a long period of rest, the same applies to horses. However, a horse coming off a long rest might need a race or two to get back in shape. So beware of horses just coming back to the track after long periods of rest.